Donald Trump Rises In New Hampshire

Donald is on the move again:

Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump’s lead widened in New Hampshire just days before the primary, according to the latest CNN/WMUR tracking poll.

Thirty-three percent of likely Republican primary voters said they support Trump, giving the billionaire a 17-point lead over his closest GOP rival. Trump gained 5 points from a similar tracking poll last week.

Trump now has more than double the support of Sen. Marco Rubio, who came in second with 16 percent support.

Sen. Ted Cruz has 14 percent for third place.

As a general rule, Donald surges when he does one thing – ally himself with the insurgency and fight for its ideals more ferociously than anyone. When he espouses more conservative ideals than everyone else, and attack the enemies of the conservative insurgents, his poll numbers soar.

He’s going to build a massive wall – and make Mexico pay for it. He will ban Muslim immigration. He is going to fight a trade war with China. He will bomb the shit out of ISIS. Hillary is going to prison. Jeb is an establishment loser who supports illegal immigrants over Americans. The Republican donor class is opposed to him. Last night he promised he is going to bring back waterboarding, and a “helluva lot worse.” My heart fluttered. Then he called out the establishment for stacking the audience with big Cuckservative donors. He even showed kindness and class in standing with Carson, after Carson missed his cue to come out on stage at the beginning.

When Donald stagnates is when he is diverted from that assault on our enemies, and he begins attacking other politicians who his conservative insurgent supporters feel any sense of kinship with. When he attacks any conservative candidate who any conservative insurgents feel fondness for, his meteoric rise slows down. Part of that is negative emotions arising from seeing him attacking candidates some feel are fellow insurgent warriors, and part of that probably comes from seeing him behave as other politicians act.

What I would propose to future conservative insurgent candidates, is that the conservative insurgency tends to be very in-group oriented, and as a result the potential voters within that pool tend to develop feelings of fondness for any candidate they feel supports their cause. To that end, even if these voters adopt one candidate as their own, they still like other insurgent candidates.

Where internecine fighting breaks out among insurgent candidates, it has a tendency to create subtle perceptions of negativity in insurgent-voter amygdalae which attach themselves to all involved candidates. Those subtle perceptions hurt viability and voter support for anyone near the conflict. Our enemies are liberals, non-Americans who want American wealth, enemies of our nation, and the Cucks in the Republican establishment who support, tacitly or otherwise, all of those. Anyone who is perceived to be allied against those forces is our friend.

Now practically, negative advertising works, but it only works if it is detached from the candidate who launches it, or if the target attacked is universally disliked or not known by the target audience. Create an ad with the candidate themselves attacking a slightly liked opponent directly, and it’s efficacy will be greatly reduced. When you have the candidate themselves directly attack other insurgent conservatives who the target voters may actually like a lot, the costs are as high as the gains.

The key in a primary is to identify who your potential voters see as an enemy, and attack that enemy as vigorously as possible, while avoiding engaging in any direct attacks on any candidates who your potential supporters may like, or have positive feelings for.

As an additional benefit, not only is this good for the individual candidacy, it is good for the cause.

In other news, the candidate who said illegal immigration was an act of love we all had to bend over for is on the verge of calling it quits.

Frustration inside Bush world has begun to spill into open view, with even the most outspoken family loyalists admitting it may soon be time to move on.

With the New Hampshire primary just days away and polls showing him still trailing Marco Rubio, there is an increasing sense that Jeb Bush is running out of time to demonstrate strength.

Many donors and influential supporters, bound by a deep and longstanding connection to the patrician clan, say they will remain with Bush no matter what. Yet others, deeply distressed by the rise of Donald Trump and Ted Cruz and eager for the Republican Party to rally around a mainstream candidate with viability, say they have come to terms with Bush’s long odds and the possibility they will eventually get behind someone else.

Here is a candidate who purposely took the side of foreign law-breakers over Americans in a party of patriots, and who attacked the one guy who aggressively swore he’d support America over foreigners. I actually think Jeb’s campaign is more worthy of analysis than Donald’s, because it took much more overt effort to blow all the advantages Bush entered the race with, than it took for Donald to exploit his strengths. I doubt we will ever see any candidate enter a race so far ahead and then purposely torpedo his entire campaign so fully.

Jeb is awesome at Apocalypse. Just imagine if we had given him the reins of the country.