Did Anyone Move Stocks With Knowledge Las Vegas Was Coming?

Kip Herridge discusses it:

Note: With this report, I make no claim to specific knowledge of any wrongdoing or improprieties. Instead, this report includes trading patterns, news releases and/or public record SEC filings.

We will examine the share price movements of two gun manufacturers (American Outdoor Brands and Sturm Ruger) and the share price movement of MGM (which owns Mandalay Bay). We will also examine additional financial events surrounding MGM, including what can only be referred to as massive levels of insider selling in the shares of MGM, by the CEO/Chairman and MGM officers/directors. As you’ll see, more than $200 million in MGM shares were sold in the weeks leading up to the attack…

This final chart shows the share price of MGM (owner of Mandalay Bay) in the days leading up to the attack to present. MGM shares declined more than 10%, from 9/7/17 to recent lows. This decline occurred as some $200 million in insider selling was taking place…

Included in this updated article:

1) Additional trading research on OSIS (OSI Systems), the global leader in baggage, shipping and people detection systems (airports and now MUCH more, like hotels/casinos). Like the other 4 co’s that I have found, OSIS also began to rise on 9/11/17 (remember this date as you will see it in each company) and it rose on large share/option volume increases. The shares of OSIS would rise as much as 16% from its 9/11/17 lows to just after the attack.

2) OLN (Olin Corp) makes Winchester ammunition. Beginning on 9/11/17 their shares began to rise on a large increase in volume and a HUGE increase in call option purchases (so far I’ve found more than 6000 calls were purchased in OIH the week prior to the attack with someone making a ton of money in these calls). The shares of OLN would soar as much as 23% from their 9/11/17 lows to just after the attack.

I’ve noticed several strange anomalies as I’ve read the articles, things which wouldn’t mean much to most people. The shooter put up sheet metal fencing to block the views of neighbors. He never went outside, kept his drapes drawn, and had no lawn furniture or outdoor accessories. The shooter would ignore entreaties by people on the street, and avoid them aggressively. He kept moving, and never set down roots. He wanted privacy at the end of a cul de sac. His brother positioned hidden cameras inside his house and inside his car, and was highly paranoid.

That can be paranoia. But it is only paranoia if nobody is out to get you.

So who would know the shooting was coming? It could be government. He was engaging in strange gambling wins which would seem highly unlikely, and perhaps more sensible in the context of a money laundering scheme. He clearly would have tripped tripwires in the domestic intelligence apparatus with the suspicious activity reports he generated. If his wins were legitimate, I would assume they would register that he was legit and move on, but you never know.

He could also have been a genuine spook doing dangerous things and they were watching his back, when someone at the top became aware of what was going to go down. Maybe they didn’t intervene, or maybe they tried to shield against it and decided to play the odds on the side, just in case things didn’t work out for him. That line of work looks a lot more fun when you watch James Bond alone on his own on the big screen. Get involved at the operational level, and my guess is you don’t have much privacy, and the politicians at the top see you as little more than a pawn to be sacrificed.

If he was actually winning $5 million per year, it could be the casinos. I will bet if you won $50,000 at video poker a few times, the casino-head would have you followed by PIs and watch your connections for a month or so, maybe more if you kept winning. If you met with a computer maintenance guy who serviced the circuit boards and programming for the slot machines and video poker at the casino, and gave him a wad of cash, they would want to know that. There may only be a few hundred people like that who the casino is interested in, but if it prevents the loss of a few score of millions, watching them would be a wise play.

A part of me wonders if the whole “comping” thing is really to get control of high rollers from an intelligence perspective, just in the event they are up to something. Think about it. You have a guy who is winning millions of dollars at your computerized machines each year. You know something is funky. Do you want to have to field a mobile surveillance team complete with disguise kits and radio emissions, to spontaneously follow that guy to another hotel you don’t control (which may be scanning for frequencies and looking for surveillance ops targeting its casinos), have to negotiate rooms with common walls on the fly in enemy territory, deploy your tech on a competitor’s turf, and try to organize a follow through the town to other restaurants where he might take meetings, and where you will have to hustle to get people positioned in the restaurant to covertly get ears in the meeting? That would probably increase the manpower required by a couple of orders of magnitude to acquire any degree of certainty in coverage, and exposure would be a huge headache as the target moves through the sophisticated casino security operations.

Or, do you want him to move into a room you select for him, in a hotel you control, where you can preinstall tech, and where you will have him eating at your restaurants, where you sit him where you want him, surrounded by all the operators you want positioned all around him? If I were suing the casino, a big part of my discovery would be the surveillance operations either run by them, or contracted out to third parties to cover high rollers. I wondered if the cameras in his room were even his, if he wasn’t filming with them.

If you use a comping system then from an operator’s perspective, if you are going to launch a scheme to defraud the casino, you have to either give complete intelligence control over you to the casino when you arrive, and maintain complete disconnection from any confederates throughout the operation, or you have to set off warning bells at the outset by declining the comps and keeping the casino at arm’s length. It would make operating very difficult for criminals.

Not many crooks would see that coming anyway. They’d hold planning meetings in a back corner at the hotel restaurant over dinner, do after action debriefings to perfect their crimes in their room, call bosses to apprise them of events, and so on.

If this guy was legitimately winning millions at the casinos each year, I wouldn’t be surprised if it was a casino head who uncovered what was going on.

If, on the other hand, he was a criminal or spook, then that would be another matter.

But then there is another possibility, as highlighted in this video:

It is not impossible if this was hostile action by an enemy like Antifa or ISIS, they would have set things up to profit off the attack. Soros even funds many of those left-wing operations, so he would have the infrastructure and the skillset to profit off it right in place already.

Bottom line is somebody may have known, and worse yet, made money off the deaths of innocents.

At least with the Donald in control, we have some chance of justice being served. Imagine if it was Hillary up there?

Tell people on the street about r/K Theory, because they will want to know why blood is flowing when the Apocalypse goes down

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6 years ago

[…] Source link […]

Pitcrew
Pitcrew
6 years ago

Everyone who lands at McCarran and stays on the Strip is going to go right by the concert site. To say it ruins the vibe is an understatement. Loss of tourism is going to be in the billions, then there are legal and added security costs. Those stock moves would only profit maybe up to half a billion. If somebody made money off of this, Vegas will view it as a heist. Don’t be surprised to see a few more holes out in the desert.

RJ
RJ
6 years ago

I had a friend many years ago who had been a company man back in the 1970s and early 80s. He once told me that the Soviets had a pretty thorough list of government employees so they would use contractors for what he called “off the books jobs”. He said most of that stuff were boring jobs like picking up documents or dropping packages rather than the James Bond type stuff, but a lot of what they were doing was still dangerous.

But here’s what’s interesting. He said most of these guys would pretend to have jobs where dealing in large amounts of cash was common, and he very specifically mentioned both professional gamblers and real estate investors. He said that way they could easily funnel payments to these guys through their friends in the casino business or having financial contacts overpay for property without the wrong people noticing.

I had almost forgotten those conversations from over 20 years ago until the reports on Paddock lit my brain up like a pinball machine. It could all be a coincidence, but it’s a hell of a coincidence.

redmoonproject
6 years ago

I can’t speak to the question of what the shooter may have been involved in, but when evaluating the market, it’s always a good idea to get a long term view in context. MGM shares have been in a long term up-trend since the election of Trump, the same as much of the market. Clearly stocks are voting in favor of the current administration and have moved up strongly since last November. For the last several months MGM has been moving sideways in a trading range. This is also not unusual in a trending market. Stocks don’t go straight up, even in a strong market. For my money I would say that this looks like a “re-accumulation” phase, after which one can expect a continuation of the previous trend.

http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui

http://stockcharts.com/school/doku.php?id=chart_school:market_analysis:wyckoff_market_analy

ACThinker
ACThinker
Reply to  redmoonproject
6 years ago

Echoing here –
I knew a guy who got shares in his employers company, and of course didn’t want to be to be stuck with one stock. So he was going to sell and he said his company’s stock would cycle like a sin wave every 3 or 4 weeks (sideways trading). Very regular as the mutual fund managers would buy and sell and move money around trying to get a % of growth for the fund. With this in mind, he had planed to sell 80%+ of his shares from the employee plan at a future expected high point. He acknowledged he might miss, but figured it wouldn’t be as bad as a sale when it was at a low.

If this is the case with MGM, it could be a move of mutual fund managers (human or computer) away from MGM before this attack that is on cycle. The trick is to see if it happened OFF cycle for MGM stock, and to be sure there were no other bits of news like a crappy movie or such.

Sam J.
Sam J.
6 years ago

“…massive levels of insider selling in the shares of MGM, by the CEO/Chairman and MGM officers/director…”

Not definitive but another point in the “they knew” category. Maybe the shooter was involved in spooky stuff but I still believe he was a patsy. Look at Oswald he was involved in a lot of spooky stuff and where did he end up?

What happened to the hotel video will be important. If they say it was lost…well…

What I wonder is how long will it take before disgruntled people start striking back at the Jews responsible for this?

JAG
JAG
6 years ago

Soros bought $42 million in puts in June/August on MGM. Coincidence much?

https://www.reddit.com/r/The_Donald/comments/74928z/soros_recon_alert_on_august_14_2017_soros_fund/

Also, the Zerohedge link is dead. It has been removed. ZH often gets content off other sites and normally gets permission to post so maybe the Author asked for it to be removed, maybe not.

Here is the original on the OP’s site:

http://kipherriage.squarespace.com/home/2017/10/7/insider-trading-and-financial-anomalies-surrounding-the-las.html

Sam J.
Sam J.
6 years ago

Interesting if true. Supposedly every security guard in Nevada armed or not must be registered in the State in a public database and the security guard Jesus Campos, the security guard who first encountered Paddock and was shot, is not on it.

From pol so…take with a grain of salt.

comment image

It’s possible. physically that Paddock did all this but there doesn’t seem to be any real motive. That some wealthy old guy should in his dotage decided that gambling at video poker was not fun anymore and becoming an ISIS assassin was what he really wanted to be all along, well that’s just silly.

Reluctant Dissident
Reluctant Dissident
6 years ago

Don’t mean to be a pedantic tool, but casino uses for money laundering involve improbable losses, not wins. The point is that the inexplicable cash reserves of the criminal enterprise become cash receipts with auditable paper trails when they’re received by the legitimate tax-paying licensed business. The ideal mechanism for this would be a slot machine set to a lowish rate of return – better still one of those modern high stakes slot machines. Large bets (eg. on roulette wheels) are too conspicuous: a steady stream going into a one-armed bandit all night long is completely indistinguishable from the real thing.
Indeed rather than having some stooge literally stand there pumping coins into slots, why not just pin an ‘out of order’ notice on a bandit, ready to be taken off when the auditors come, and fabricate the entirety of the paper records for that bandit lol

Inexplicable wins just create large cash surpluses that need to be spent elsewhere, or banked. Individuals putting large amounts in the bank are likely to be ratted on, whereas a casino’s expected to do so regularly.